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The Sovereo Brief archive
The Sovereo Brief is a weekly analysis by Todd Allyn of how the world's decisions change your choices. Each issue states one conviction, the mechanism behind it, and forecasts that are dated and scored in public. Below is each issue's conviction and forecast record.
- Issue #009: One Catalyst, Three Prices, One ClockJune 26, 2026 · One catalyst inflated three prices, and one clock now decides whether they stay down.
- Issue #007: The Vote You Didn't CastJune 12, 2026 · On June 21 Colombia chooses between two governing models that agree on almost nothing.
- Issue #006: The Parallel ChannelJune 5, 2026 · On May 26 the United States and India signed a bilateral critical-minerals framework.
- Issue #005: The Pivot PositionMay 29, 2026 · China hosted the President of the United States and the President of Russia in the same building five days apart, and that is not the story.
- Issue #004: The Architectural ShiftMay 1, 2026 · The Iran-US war is not the story.
- Issue #003: The Sovereign Real EstateApril 24, 2026 · West African cocoa farmers are converting their land to sand mining operations in 2026.
- Issue #002: The Food ClockApril 18, 2026 · Forty-seven days have passed since the strait closed.
- Issue #001: The Arbaeen CeasefireApril 10, 2026 · The ceasefire signed on April 8 ended nothing.
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The full issue carries the mechanism, the competing explanation, the position and the questions to ask before you act. The Sovereo Brief is $47 a month or $470 a year and includes the Decision Forecast.
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