Every week: what is likely to happen in the world, how sure we are, and what it means for your money, your home and your plans.
$27 a month, or $270 a year. Already a Brief member? It is included, nothing to buy. Cancel any time.Every forecast comes with a clear number, a line for your situation, and what would change our mind. When the date comes, it is graded in public.
Show me what it means if I am:Big choices like where to live, when to move money and where to build are made months ahead. By the time it is in the headlines, the best time to decide has passed.
Fast, loud, and too late for planning. No number for how likely the next step is.
A price, but nothing about why, or what it means for your pension, your rent or your savings.
A clear number, the reason behind it, what it means for your situation, and a public grade when the date comes.
Anyone can guess. We write each call down with a number and a date, then mark it right or wrong for everyone to see. Our biggest miss always goes first. Nothing is ever deleted.
Live from the public record, updated every day. See every call, right and wrong →
Never let the future disturb you. You will meet it, if you have to, with the same weapons of reason which today arm you against the present.
Marcus Aurelius · Meditations 7.8
Each question goes to five separate research agents. They work alone, from different angles, and never see each other's answers. Then we combine them, and an independent reviewer checks the work before anything reaches you.
How often has this kind of thing happened before?
Who decides, what they want, and what they cannot afford.
Official documents, read in full, weighed carefully.
Sources in Spanish, Portuguese, Arabic and more.
Its only job is to prove the obvious answer wrong.
New forecastsOn the world events most likely to touch your life in the next few months.
A clear numberHow sure we are, like 63 in 100. No vague words.
What it means for youWritten for retirees, people planning retirement, investors and people building income or a move.
Watch, get ready, or key datesOne plain signal per situation, so you know how close the decision is.
The sign that changes our mindSo you can watch for it too.
The weekly scorecardWhat came true, what did not, and why. Biggest miss first.
Built by an economist who spent 24 years teaching how money and the world really work.
One good decision about where you live or when you move money can be worth far more than a year of forecasts.
We do not bet on our own forecasts or sell you investments. Nobody pays us to say anything.
The biggest miss goes at the top of every scorecard. That is how you know the hits are real.
No politics. A forecast should read the same to every reader.
No. It is general research for everyone, sent on a regular schedule. It tells you what may happen and who it affects. Your choices stay yours.
The news reports what happened. The Decision Forecast gives a number for what happens next, explains what it means for your situation, and is graded in public when the date arrives.
By email every week. Your first forecast arrives on the next send day after you join.
A research system designed and run by Todd Allyn. Five independent research agents work each question, and a separate review step checks every forecast before it is sent.
No. The Decision Forecast is included with your Brief membership at no extra cost, and it arrives by email every week. If it is not reaching you, write to sovereo@proton.me and we will add you.
All sales are final. You can cancel at any time to stop future charges, and you keep access until the end of the period you paid for. We do not refund partial months or the unused part of a yearly plan, except where the law requires it.
Yes, any time, from the link in your receipt. You keep access until the end of the period you paid for.
Then you already have the Decision Forecast. It is included in every Brief membership.
Join the Decision Forecast for $27 a month. Your first forecast arrives on the next send day.
Not ready yet? Start with the free daily SITREP.